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Snow and Cold: What's in Store for Northern Virginia this Winter

El Niño didn't really form, making DC area predictions difficult for meteorologists.

This week’s forecast calls for a potential "wintry mix" north and west of the city, but the relatively early snowfall doesn't indicate anything for the winter weeks ahead, according to forecasters.

Some meteorologists are calling for an “average” winter in terms of snowfall, but some say there could be higher-than-average amounts of the white stuff.

“During an El Niño winter we can see some heavy snows and some cool temperatures here in the mid-Atlantic," ABC7 meteorologist Matt Stinneford told WTOP. "However, as we got further into fall, it became apparent that an El Niño was not going to develop."

NOAA’s Mike Halpert told the Capital Weather Gang in October, “This is one of the most challenging outlooks we’ve produced in recent years because El Niño decided not to show up as expected.” NOAA’s outlook calls for approximately equal chances that the East Coast will have above or below normal precipitation and temperatures.

The Capital Weather Gang’s Matt Ross predicted earlier this month that there will be both colder temperatures and more snow than last winter in the DC area—but that’s probably a given, since last winter was warmer and dryer than normal.

Overall, however, Ross said the metro area will remain on the drier side, with six or seven storms featuring accumulating snow; only four of those storms will have snowfall greater than an inch. Ross gives a 35 percent chance that the DC metro area will see more than 6 inches of snow this winter.

“We don’t think odds are high for a massive, crippling “Snowmageddon”-like storm, but a 6-10 inch (or modestly higher) storm is certainly not out of the question,” Ross said.

The Old Farmer’s Almanac back in August predicted colder-than-normal temperatures and higher-than-normal precipitation. Specifically, the Almanac calls for major storms along the Eastern Seaboard in mid-February and mid-March. 

Regardless of what happens, the Virginia Department of Transportation said earlier this month it is well prepared with more than 4,000 trucks and new technology to route snowplows where they are needed most. 

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Winchester June 7, 2013 at 02:38 am
HB2313 is the first step in many years towards improving significant Virginia transportation issues.Read More It very importantly provides money for neglected safety inspections of bridges, roads and tunnels - to avoid recent disastrous situations like the Minnesota and Washington bridge collapses. 3800 bridges in Virginia have already been deemed sub-standard. HB2313 also significantly increases the percentage of new infrastructure transportation funds raised in and allocated to NoVa, from 30% to 100%. It also provides funding for the estimated $1B in state construction needs (increasing at a yearly rate of $500M). Finally, the tax increases (and decreases) involved are a small percentage of the already very low Virginia transportation budget and low state taxes (compared to most other states). Delegate May has said in recent interviews that he is usually not in favor of raising taxes - though transportation safety is extremely important - as is keeping NoVa transportation dollars in NoVa. He also said he will ensure there is very careful scrutiny of how the money raised by this bill will be spent.
Michael June 10, 2013 at 03:11 am
The $6.1B in additional tax revenues from transportation bill HB2313 are to be generated over theRead More next five years - which works out to about an additional $145 per person per year - less than the cost of one night at a nice hotel....
Susan June 3, 2013 at 02:34 pm
Interesting article. What worked for me was a program by nutritionist Isabel De Los Rios. If itRead More helps anybody else details of her weight loss plan can be found here: http://www.wowitworked.com/fast-weight-loss/
Ken Wall June 3, 2013 at 02:05 am
Previously there has been nowhere near enough money in the Virginia budget to address current localRead More transportation issues - Virginia transportation spending has continually been almost the lowest in the country (45th of 50 states in 2011) - and the significant local population and economic growth rates have made the issue worse quickly. Note Virginia taxes are also some of the lowest in the country (34th of 50 states in 2011). A large number of politicians across Virginia are involved in resolving the complex and expensive transportation issues in our area - no one person alone is completely responsible - significant negotiating, compromising and patience - traits and skills which LaRock does not possess - are required. A significant step forward was made with recent HB2313, with the help of Delegate May, which allocates significantly more transportation money to our district.
Michael June 10, 2013 at 03:11 am
The $6.1B in additional tax revenues from transportation bill HB2313 are to be generated over theRead More next five years - which works out to about an additional $145 per person per year - less than the cost of one night at a nice hotel....
joe brewer June 11, 2013 at 09:31 am
The 17.5 cent gas tax has been reduced a few cents for a year or two but will be back up there asRead More the wholesale gas tax increases automatically. Northern Virginia will be getting about 180 million of this new tax burden. Using the Pacific Blvd numbers that's 10 miles worth of road. Being shortchanged for 20 years with Northern Virginia getting back 30 cents on a dollar for roads is on Joe May. He did not work to get the formula adjusted. The gas tax was a tax on people who bought gas the new bill and the numbers above include every man, woman and child being taxed 145 dollars a increase of 50% over the gas tax alone plus the additional tax base.